Japan vs Indonesia: 2026 World Cup Qualifiers Prediction (10.06.2025)

On Tuesday, June 10 at 16:35 WIB (Western Indonesia Time) at Panasonic Stadium, Suita, Japan’s national team will host Indonesia in the final (tenth) round of Group C in the third stage of the Asian qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup. The hosts have already secured their place in the main tournament. The visitors, meanwhile, cannot drop below fourth place in the group, which means they advance to the fourth qualifying round.

In the Japan vs Indonesia match, bookmakers clearly favor the home team. A win for the “Blue Samurai” is priced at odds of 1.21, a draw at 6.80, and a win for the “Garuda Team” at 12.50. Analysts expect plenty of goals: over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.46. Bets on both teams to score are accepted at odds of 2.00.

Japan
Coach Hajime Moriyasu has many quality and reliable players, most playing in top European clubs. However, for the June matches, which no longer affect the standings, the coaching staff decided not to field the brightest stars. The squad is still dominated by “European” Japanese players, though not the most famous ones. This already led to a narrow 0-1 away defeat to Australia. Again, Japan is playing without any tournament motivation.

Indonesia
Under Patrick Kluivert, the “Red and White” have played three matches. First, they suffered a heavy 1-5 defeat to Austria, but then beat their main rivals for fourth place—Bahrain and China—both 1-0. This is already a decent result for a modest squad, with several key positions filled by naturalized European players. Indonesia remains a modest team by continental standards, but progress is evident, especially as the team reached the Asian Cup playoffs for the first time in 2024.

Statistics and Head-to-Head
Last year, the teams met twice. In the Asian Cup group stage, Japan won 3-1, and in the first round of the current World Cup qualifiers, Japan won 4-0.

Prediction
This match is not decisive for either team. It’s hard to say how much Japan will want to show their full dominance at home. Counting on Samurai pride, the best bet is Japan -1.5 handicap at odds of 1.61.