Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic: Wimbledon ATP Prediction (11.07.2025)

On Friday, July 11 after 19:30 WIB, Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic will face off at Centre Court of the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club in London in the men’s singles semifinal of Wimbledon 2025. The 23-year-old Italian currently holds the ATP world number one ranking, while the 38-year-old Serbian stands at sixth in the same rankings.

In the Sinner vs Djokovic matchup, bookmakers are favoring the world number one. A win for Sinner is priced at odds of 1.40, while Djokovic’s victory is at 3.28. Among the four semifinalists, betting analysts rank Sinner as the second favorite to win the tournament, behind Carlos Alcaraz. His title odds are set at 3.25. Djokovic is in third place with odds of 5.00.

Jannik Sinner

In the Round of 16, Sinner had some issues with his right elbow and won the match only because Grigor Dimitrov had to retire due to injury. However, it seems the physiotherapists did their job well, as Sinner was back to top form in the quarterfinal. On his way to the semifinal, he defeated:

• Luca Nardi (Italy, 95): 6-4, 6-3, 6-0
• Aleksandar Vukic (Australia, 93): 6-1, 6-1, 6-3
• Pedro Martinez (Spain, 52): 6-1, 6-3, 6-1
• Grigor Dimitrov (Bulgaria, 21): 3-6, 5-7, 2-2 (Dimitrov retired due to injury)
• Ben Shelton (USA, 10): 7-6, 6-4, 6-4

Sinner has won all his matches in straight sets, putting in minimal effort to advance through the draw. However, he looked quite vulnerable during the match against Dimitrov.

Novak Djokovic

Djokovic is playing in his usual style — often allowing his opponents too much freedom, especially in the early sets, but then finishing matches with class and experience. On his way to this stage, Djokovic defeated:

• Alexandre Muller (France, 41): 6-1, 6-7, 6-2, 6-2
• Daniel Evans (UK, 154): 6-3, 6-2, 6-0
• Miomir Kecmanovic (Serbia, 49): 6-3, 6-0, 6-4
• Alex de Minaur (Australia, 11): 1-6, 6-4, 6-4, 6-4
• Flavio Cobolli (Italy, 24): 6-7, 6-2, 7-5, 6-4

The “Djoker” has appeared in the last six Wimbledon finals, winning four of them. He holds a total of seven Wimbledon titles. But this might be a case where experience becomes a burden, and age begins to take its toll.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

The two players have faced each other 11 times, with Sinner leading narrowly at 6–5 in total wins. However, Djokovic defeated him at Wimbledon in both 2022 and 2023.

Prediction

It’s hard to imagine either player giving up an easy win. Our prediction: the total number of games will be over 39.5, with odds of 1.83.