Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz: Cincinnati Masters Prediction (19.08.2025)

On Tuesday night, August 19 after 03:00 WIB, the final of the 2025 Cincinnati Masters will take place on the central court of the Lindner Family Tennis Center in Mason, featuring Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz. This clash brings together the world’s number one and number two players. The 24-year-old Italian arrives as the defending champion, while the 22-year-old Spaniard was eliminated in the round of 1/16 last year.

In the Sinner – Alcaraz final, bookmakers consider the world number one the favorite. A bet on Jannik’s victory is offered at odds of 1.58, while Carlos is priced at 2.44. The decisive match is not expected to be short: the total games over 22.5 is valued at 1.81, while under is 2.02. The most likely set score is considered 2:0 for the Italian, with odds of 2.49.

Jannik Sinner

This season, the world number one has participated only in selected tournaments. He has lost twice on clay and once on grass. However, in 2025 on hard courts, Sinner has yet to suffer a defeat. In Cincinnati, he has already defeated:

• Daniel Galan (Colombia, 144) 6:1, 6:1
  
• Gabriel Diallo (Canada, 35) 6:2, 7:6
  
• Adrian Mannarino (France, 89) 6:4, 7:6
  
• Felix Auger-Aliassime (Canada, 28) 6:0, 6:2
  
• Terence Atmane (France, 136) 7:6, 6:2

Perhaps the draw was favorable, but in the final he will face the strongest possible opponent.

Carlos Alcaraz

The Spaniard has faced little competition over the past three years on both clay and grass. However, on hard courts, he still lags behind his rival in terms of trophies, although he often wins in their head-to-head matches on this surface. In Cincinnati, Alcaraz defeated:

• Damir Dzumhur (Bosnia, 56) 6:1, 2:6, 6:3
  
• Hamad Medjedovic (Serbia, 72) 6:4, 6:4
  
• Luca Nardi (Italy, 98) 6:1, 6:4
  
• Andrey Rublev (Russia, 11) 6:3, 4:6, 7:5
  
• Alexander Zverev (Germany) 6:4, 6:3

His win over Zverev in the semifinals showed that Alcaraz enters the final in excellent form and high spirits.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

The two players have met 15 times. Alcaraz leads with 9 victories to Sinner’s 6. On hard courts, Alcaraz also leads 5:3.

Prediction

Of their eight encounters on hard courts, only two ended in straight sets. More often, these young tennis stars produce thrilling and competitive battles. Expecting another intense clash, the prediction is for total games over 22 at odds of 1.66.