Jannik Sinner vs Ben Shelton: Wimbledon ATP Prediction (09.07.2025)

On Wednesday, July 9, after 18:00 WIB, Jannik Sinner and Ben Shelton will face off on one of the courts at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club in London in the quarterfinals of the men’s singles draw at Wimbledon 2025. The 23-year-old Italian currently tops the ATP world rankings, while the 22-year-old American rounds out the top ten.

In the Sinner vs Shelton matchup, bookmakers’ predictions are entirely in favor of the world number one. A bet on Sinner’s victory is priced at low odds of 1.19, while a win for Shelton is valued at 4.75. Tennis experts predict the match will likely go to four sets. The total sets over 3.5 is priced at 1.65, while under 4.5 is offered at 1.23. The most likely correct set score is 3:0, with odds of 2.40, followed by 3:1 at 3.20.

Jannik Sinner

The world number one is considered the modern “king” of hard courts but has yet to achieve major success on grass. His best Wimbledon result so far was reaching the semifinals. Ahead of this Grand Slam, he only played one grass-court tournament in Halle, where he lost in the second round to Kazakhstan’s Alexander Bublik. On his way to the quarterfinals, he defeated:

• Luca Nardi (Italy, ranked 95): 6-4, 6-3, 6-0
• Aleksandar Vukic (Australia, ranked 93): 6-1, 6-1, 6-3
• Pedro Martinez (Spain, ranked 52): 6-1, 6-3, 6-1
• Grigor Dimitrov (Bulgaria, ranked 21): 3-6, 5-7, 2-2 (opponent retired due to injury)

In his last match, Sinner also experienced issues with his right elbow, so it remains uncertain what condition the favorite will be in for the quarterfinal.

Ben Shelton

The American is also not a grass-court specialist. However, unlike his upcoming opponent, Shelton entered four grass-court tournaments ahead of Wimbledon. He was eliminated in the early rounds of three of them. His progression to the quarterfinals here is more the result of a favorable draw, through which he defeated:

• Alex Bolt (Australia, ranked 179): 6-4, 7-6, 7-6
• Rinky Hijikata (Australia, ranked 87): 6-2, 7-5, 6-4
• Marton Fucsovics (Hungary, ranked 105): 6-3, 7-6, 6-2
• Lorenzo Sonego (Italy, ranked 47): 3-6, 6-1, 7-6, 7-5

This is the young American’s first time reaching the Wimbledon quarterfinals.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

In the past two years, the players have met six times. Sinner leads the head-to-head with five wins to one. They met in the round of 16 at last year’s Wimbledon, where the Italian won 6-2, 6-4, 7-6.

Prediction

Shelton is a comfortable matchup for Sinner, but the question mark lies in the world number one’s health. Ben’s aggressive first-serve game could prove effective. The prediction is a handicap bet on Shelton at +2.5 sets, with odds of 1.53.