Iga Swiatek vs Liudmila Samsonova: Wimbledon WTA Prediction (09.07.2025)

On Wednesday, July 9, after 18:00 WIB, a quarterfinal match between Iga Swiatek and Liudmila Samsonova will take place on one of the courts at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club in London, as part of the women’s singles draw at Wimbledon 2025. The 24-year-old Polish player is ranked fourth in the WTA rankings, while the 26-year-old Russian is currently ranked 19th.

In the Swiatek vs Samsonova pairing, bookmakers heavily favor the former world number one. A bet on the Polish player’s victory is priced at 1.36, while a win for the Russian carries odds of 3.25. Experts believe the favorite will close the match in two sets. The odds for total sets under 2.5 is 1.53.

Iga Swiatek

Swiatek previously won the junior Wimbledon title, but has yet to achieve significant success on grass at the professional level. Her best result at a grass-court Grand Slam was reaching the quarterfinals in 2023. This Wednesday, she has a chance to surpass that. Ahead of Wimbledon, Swiatek played at Bad Homburg, where she only lost in the final to Jessica Pegula (world No. 3) with a score of 4-6, 5-7. In London, she has already defeated:

• Polina Kudermetova (Russia, ranked 64): 7-5, 6-1
• Caty McNally (USA, ranked 208): 5-7, 6-2, 6-1
• Danielle Rose Collins (USA, ranked 54): 6-2, 6-3
• Clara Tauson (Denmark, ranked 22): 6-4, 6-1

In each of her matches, Swiatek has delivered at least one dominant set, handing out convincing beatdowns to her opponents. Analysts are already suggesting that her current strong form might allow her to win her first Wimbledon title at the professional level.

Liudmila Samsonova

Before Wimbledon, Samsonova performed well on grass in Berlin, where she reached the semifinals before losing to China’s Wang Xinyu (ranked 32) 4-6, 1-6. At the current championship, she has defeated:

• Maya Joint (Australia, ranked 41): 6-3, 6-2
• Yuliia Starodubtseva (Ukraine, ranked 63): 6-2, 6-1
• Daria Kasatkina (Australia, ranked 18): 6-2, 6-3
• Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Spain, ranked 62): 7-5, 7-5

Samsonova has a career grass-court title from Berlin in 2021. Reaching the Wimbledon quarterfinal this year is her best result at this tournament so far.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

Since 2022, the two players have faced each other four times, and all matches were won by Swiatek. Their most recent encounter was at the 2024 US Open on hard court, where Swiatek triumphed 6-4, 6-1.

Prediction

Swiatek is not as dominant on grass as she is on clay or hard courts, but her current form and skill should be enough to secure victory. A safe betting option here is Swiatek -2.5 games handicap at odds of 1.52.