Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg: Bundesliga Prediction (10.05.2025)

On May 10, 2025, at 20:30 WIB, Matchday 33 of the Bundesliga will feature a clash between Holstein Kiel and Freiburg at the Holstein-Stadion. This match carries different implications for both sides in terms of league standings. Although Freiburg are slight favorites with bookmakers, the encounter is expected to be hard-fought. Let’s review the teams’ current form and make our prediction.

Holstein Kiel

The “Storks” are in a precarious position — sitting 17th in the table and dangerously close to relegation. However, there’s still a glimmer of hope. Holstein trail 16th-placed Heidenheim by just one point, meaning they still have a chance to move up and earn a place in the relegation/promotion playoff.

Interestingly, Kiel have shown impressive form in recent weeks. They have lost just once in their last five matches and even pulled off a thrilling 4–3 win against Borussia Mönchengladbach. The team appears to be hitting their stride just in time.

Freiburg

Freiburg are having a solid season and currently sit fourth in the Bundesliga table. They are in a tight race to secure a Champions League spot, but face strong competition from Borussia Dortmund (1 point behind) and RB Leipzig (2 points behind). With just two matches left, every point matters.

Since early February, Freiburg have lost only twice and are in excellent shape. They’ve also managed to address their earlier issues with away form — they are now unbeaten in six consecutive away games.

Head-to-Head and Stats

These two sides have only met twice before: once in the 2018 DFB Pokal (won 2–1 by Holstein Kiel), and once earlier this Bundesliga season (a 3–2 win for Freiburg). Both matches were high-scoring and open.

Prediction

Considering Freiburg’s strong motivation to qualify for the Champions League and their improved away form, they are expected to give their all in this match. While Holstein Kiel will be fighting tooth and nail to stay in the top flight, Freiburg’s quality and experience in big games could make the difference. Therefore, a logical bet would be backing Freiburg to win, offered at odds of 2.18.