Hammarby vs Rosenborg: Europa Conference League Qualification Prediction (14.08.2025)

The decisive second leg of the 2025/2026 Europa Conference League semi-final qualifying round between Sweden’s Hammarby and Norway’s Rosenborg kicks off in Stockholm on Thursday, 14 August 2025, at 17:00 UTC. Following an intensely contested first leg, another tight battle is anticipated in this pivotal return fixture.

Let’s take a good look at both teams’ recent form and assess the outlook for this crucial match.

Hammarby Primed for Battle

With the Swedish Allsvenskan only at its midway point, Hammarby seemingly approaches this important European clash at their peak. The team remains consistent domestically, rarely suffering defeats, and appears solid in executing their defensive strategy.

Their Conference League journey began in the second qualifying round, where they narrowly avoided elimination by Belgian side Charleroi: drawing 0-0 at home and 1-1 away before advancing with an extra-time winner. Their recent encounter with Rosenborg followed a similarly tense pattern.

Rosenborg Fighting for European Redemption

On the other hand, the Norwegian Eliteserien has reached its 18th round, yet Rosenborg struggles to find their best form and currently sits outside the top four. The club’s challenges intensified last July when one of their future stars, Sverre Nypan, departed for Manchester City in a €15 million transfer. Despite this setback, De Små Trøndere’s (The Little Trønders) determination to remain in European competition burns strong.

Their prioritization of the Hammarby tie was evident. Ahead of the first leg, they rotated players heavily and suffered a heavy 4-1 league defeat to KFUM Oslo. Even with this focused effort, however, they failed to secure a home victory against Hammarby. Now, their ticket to the final qualifying round hinges entirely on the result in Sweden.

Head-to-Head & Statistics

Last week’s first leg marked the inaugural meeting between the two sides, ending goalless (0-0). The match was characterized by a tight midfield battle, offering few clear-cut chances for either goalkeeper.

• Total Shots: Rosenborg 7 – 3 Hammarby
• Shots on Target: Hammarby 2 – 1 Rosenborg

Prediction

Based on the first leg and both teams’ current playing styles, a low-scoring, tightly contested match is the most likely scenario. If the pattern repeats, another 0-0 or 1-1 draw seems plausible, potentially sending the tie to extra time or penalties.

Significant tactical shifts appear unlikely. The sides are evenly matched, with both prioritizing defensive solidity over high-risk attacking play.

Recommended bet: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.75.