Germany vs Portugal: UEFA Nations League Prediction (05.06.2025)

On June 5, 2025, at 02:00 WIB, a UEFA Nations League playoff semifinal match will take place between the national teams of Germany and Portugal. The Mannschaft has a huge advantage in the form of home support, as the match will be played at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bookmakers also see the home side as favorites. Let’s take a look at the current form of both teams and give our prediction for the match.

Germany

The days when the German national team inspired doubt are long gone. Julian Nagelsmann’s team dispelled all skepticism during the European Championship held at home last year. The Mannschaft is once again among the strongest national teams in Europe, as proven by their recent results. Germany hasn’t lost a match in regular time since 2023. They cruised through the group stage of the Nations League without a hitch and defeated Italy in the quarterfinals over two legs (2–1 away, 3–3 at home). The “German machine” remains strong thanks to their high level of teamwork, coordinated play, and quick ball movement between the lines. It’s no surprise that Germany is considered the favorite for this match. Their strong performance and home advantage significantly lower the chances of their opponents making it to the final.

Portugal

Portugal had a rather underwhelming run at Euro 2024, despite reaching the second stage of the playoffs. The team struggled in attack. However, in the Nations League, Ronaldo and company had no trouble winning their group, dropping points only due to draws with Scotland (0–0) and Croatia (1–1). In the quarterfinals, Roberto Martínez’s side faced serious difficulties and barely got past Denmark. They lost the first leg away 0–1 and only managed to grab the win in the second leg with a late goal in the 86th minute. Eventually, Portugal managed to finish off their opponent in extra time at home. The team’s key players are also not in top form. For instance, Ronaldo ended another season without a trophy and has shown emotional instability during matches, which seems to affect his teammates as well.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

These two teams don’t meet often. Since 2006, Germany and Portugal have played each other five times, and all matches ended in favor of Germany. Their last encounter was at Euro 2021, where Germany won 4–2.

Prediction

For the match between Germany and Portugal, our prediction favors the home team. Given Germany’s stable and effective play, Roberto Martínez’s side seems to have fewer chances of competing for the trophy. In this situation, we recommend betting on Germany to win in regular time at odds of 1.88.