Germany vs France: Euro U-21 Prediction (26.06.2025)

In the early hours of Thursday, June 26 at 02:00 WIB, the semi-final match of the 2025 UEFA European Under-21 Championship will take place at the City Stadium in Košice between the youth teams of Germany and France. Germany reached the semi-finals after defeating Italy 3-2 in the quarter-finals, scoring the winning goal at the end of the second extra time. France managed to secure a comeback victory against Denmark 3-2 in regular time.

In the Germany vs France clash, bookmakers predict nearly equal chances for both sides. A bet on a German victory comes with odds of 2.77, a draw is valued at 3.40, and a French win is rated at 2.52. Football analysts are expecting a lower-scoring match compared to other games in the tournament: over 2.5 total goals is offered at 1.88, while a bet on both teams to score is valued at 1.68.

Germany

The key figure in Antonio Di Salvo’s squad remains the towering Stuttgart striker Nick Woltemade. In the quarter-final against Italy, he once again scored a goal and provided an assist. Also worth noting are the active performances of midfielders Eric Martel from Köln and Rocco Reitz from Borussia Mönchengladbach.

The hero of the match, however, was Freiburg midfielder Merlin Röhl, who came off the bench to score the decisive goal in extra time. Still, Germany’s defensive performance was far from solid. They conceded in the 96th minute, even though Italy had already had two players sent off.

France

Gérald Baticle’s side also gave their quarter-final opponents too many chances to score. Denmark took the lead twice. It’s hard to say how the game would have ended if not for two spectacular minutes in the final ten minutes. First, Marseille defender Quentin Merlin scored from inside the box, followed by a brilliant strike from Tottenham forward Mathys Tel. Despite the highlight goals, France spent most of the match trailing.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

The two teams met in friendlies in 2022 and 2024. France won the first match narrowly 1-0, while the second ended in a high-scoring 2-2 draw.

Prediction

This is one of those matches where both teams deserve to win. Both sides strive to play attractive, attacking football, sometimes at the expense of defensive stability. Yes, the coaches could opt for a more cautious tactical approach, but we’re going with a different scenario and predict “both teams to score – yes” at odds of 1.68.