Germany vs France: UEFA Nations League Prediction (08.06.2025)

On Sunday, June 8 at 20:00 WIB at the MHP-Arena in Stuttgart, the German national football team will face France in the third-place match of the 2024-2025 UEFA Nations League. In the playoff quarterfinals, Die Mannschaft beat Italy 2-1 away and drew 3-3 at home. In the semifinals, Germany lost to Portugal 1-2. The French team had previously eliminated Croatia (0-2 away and 3-0 at home) but then fell to Spain 4-5.

In this Germany vs France matchup, betting experts do not consider either team a clear favorite. Betting on a German win is available at odds of 2.47, while betting on Germany to take third place is priced at 1.83. For France, the odds are 2.78 and 2.02 respectively. Analysts expect a fairly high-scoring match: over 2.5 total goals is priced at 1.57, while both teams to score is available at 1.49.

Germany

Julian Nagelsmann’s team is mostly made up of players from Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, and Bayer Leverkusen. They did not advance far in the latter stages of the UEFA Champions League, while the Bundesliga title race ended fairly early. Therefore, it was surprising that in the semifinal against Portugal, Germany’s midfield and attack looked sluggish, especially in the second half. Leroy Sane and Nick Woltemade created very few threats to the opposing goalkeeper. As a result, Germany managed only five shots on target.

France

Didier Deschamps’ squad, on the other hand, showed great character in the closing stages of their semifinal against Spain. Trailing 1-5 in the 67th minute, France almost equalized. The defense was the weak point for Les Bleus, but in attack they had standout performers from the second tier. For example, Ryan Cherki from Lyon came on in the 63rd minute, scored a goal, and provided an assist. It’s clear that Manchester City’s bosses, who want to sign this attacking midfielder, will have to dig deep into their pockets.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Since 2021, the teams have met three times. At Euro 2020, France narrowly won 1-0, while Germany won two friendlies 2-1 and 2-0.

Prediction

Germany’s apparent end-of-season fatigue could be offset by an extra day of rest after the semifinal. However, France has more potential and attacking variety. Our prediction: the last goal will be scored by France at odds of 1.98.