Fiorentina vs Polissya: UEFA Conference League Prediction (28.08.2025)

On Thursday, August 28 at 20:00 CEST at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence, Fiorentina will host Polissya Zhytomyr in the second leg of the UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 fourth qualifying round. The Italian side were far superior in the first meeting, winning 3-0 away.

In Fiorentina vs Polissya, bookmakers believe the tie is already decided. A bet on the Violas to win in regular time is at Odds 1.19, while no odds are offered on their qualification, as it’s considered guaranteed. A victory for the Wolves is at 14.00, while their progression is a long shot at 38.00.

The second leg is expected to be high-scoring: Over 2.5 goals trades at 1.50. However, goals are forecast only from the hosts, with both teams to score priced at 2.22.

Fiorentina

For Stefano Pioli’s men, the first match against Polesie was more like a training session before Serie A’s start. The gulf in class was evident. Moise Kean was the standout, involved in both goals in the first half before being sent off. Even with ten men, the Violas secured a comfortable result.

Polissya

Ruslan Rotan’s side created chances and pushed forward, as reflected in the stats. However, without quality finishers like Kean, they struggled in the final third. The late use of Brazilian and Portuguese imports raises questions—perhaps due to fitness. Without speed and technical skill, Polesie are not yet ready to compete at Fiorentina’s level.

Head-to-head statistics

Interestingly, the numbers were quite balanced: possession 64%-36% in favor of Polesie, shots 20-15, shots on target 3-3, corners 5-3, passes completed 478-242. Yet Fiorentina edged xG 1.88–1.86.

Prediction

The Violas remain more dangerous in attack due to higher individual quality. Still, without Kean, they may find it harder to break through.

The best bet: Fiorentina not to lose and total under 3.5 goals at Odds 1.72.