Everton vs Southampton: Premier League Prediction (18.05.2025)

On Sunday, May 18 at 18:00 WIB, at Goodison Park stadium in Liverpool, the local football club Everton will host Southampton in the penultimate 37th round match of the 2024-2025 English Premier League season. The hosts currently sit in 13th place in the league table and cannot move higher. The visitors are finishing the season as absolute underdogs and are preparing to play in the Championship next season.

We make a prediction for the Everton – Southampton match considering the lack of tournament motivation for both teams, although bookmakers list the hosts as clear favorites. A bet on an Everton win can be placed with low odds of 1.43, a draw at 4.65, and a Southampton win at 8.05. The total goals over 2.5 is priced at 1.83, meaning analysts expect an average scoring match for the English league. Bets on both teams to score are accepted at odds of 2.03 — a goal from the visitors would surprise experts.

Everton

In the last 11 Premier League matches, David Moyes has won only two games. To be fair, Everton have also not lost often — just three times during this period. The abundance of draws keeps them in the bottom half of the table, far from the relegation zone. No other team has as many points from draws as Everton — 15 in total.

The team struggles in attack, although it has quality players like Betu, Iliman Ndiaye, Jack Harrison, and Dominic Calvert-Lewin. However, Everton have scored fewer goals than all but three relegation-threatened teams.

Southampton

The team is currently led by interim manager Simon Rusk, a Scotsman. But this change is unlikely to have much effect. In the last 12 rounds, “The Saints” have earned only three points from draws. Southampton scores very few goals, averaging just 0.72 goals per away match. However, they have conceded 82 goals in 36 games, making their recent 0-0 draw against Manchester City a surprising result.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

This season, the teams have met twice. First, in the League Cup round of 16, Southampton won on penalties after a 1-1 draw. In the first round of the Premier League, Southampton won 1-0 at home against Everton.

Prediction

Everton scores an average of 1.33 goals at home, so a high-scoring game is not expected. Southampton have already avoided defeat twice against Everton this season. We suggest betting on Southampton with a +1.5 handicap at odds of 1.69.