Como vs Südtirol: Coppa Italia Prediction (16.08.2025)

On Saturday, 16 August at 23:30 WIB at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Como, the home side will host Südtirol from Bolzano in the Round of 1/32 of the 2025–2026 Coppa Italia. Both teams begin their journey in the competition at this stage. Last season, the hosts were eliminated in their opening match after losing to Sampdoria on penalties. The visitors suffered the same fate, losing to Monza in the 1/32 round via a penalty shootout.

In the Como vs Südtirol clash, logic favors the team playing in a higher Italian division. However, it’s worth remembering that not long ago, both clubs competed in Serie B. Interestingly, bookmakers rate Como’s chances of winning the Coppa Italia at 29.00, while for Südtirol, the odds are an astonishing 351.00.

Como

Last season, Serie A was symbolically split into two groups: the top filled with clubs earning over 60 points, and the bottom with teams collecting fewer than 50. This gap shows the difference between top-tier contenders and those considered mid-table in Italian football. Cesc Fàbregas’ men topped the second group, finishing 10th overall — a respectable result given that Como had just returned to the top flight.

Ahead of the new season, the club invested heavily in transfers. Martin Baturina from Dinamo Zagreb, Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn from Celtic, and Jesús Rodríguez from Real Betis are among the high-profile signings, all but certain to feature in the starting lineup.

Südtirol

Fabrizio Castori’s squad cannot boast such major acquisitions, and their ambitions are far more modest. Last season in Serie B, Südtirol finished 10th and do not appear to be targeting promotion. One of their better moves was loaning several players from the reserve teams of Lazio, Juventus, and Atalanta.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Between 2022 and 2024, the two teams met four times in Serie B. Südtirol won once, while Como claimed two victories.

Prediction

A few years ago, this match would have been considered evenly matched. However, over the last season and a half, Como have significantly improved their squad quality. The prediction is a Como win with a -1 handicap.