Celta vs Rayo Vallecano: La Liga Prediction (19.05.2025)

On Sunday, May 19 at 00:00 WIB, local football club Celta will host Madrid-based Rayo Vallecano at the Balaídos Stadium in Vigo in the penultimate 37th round of the 2024–2025 Spanish La Liga season. The seventh-placed team faces the eighth-placed side, although there is a five-point gap between them. It’s worth noting that the seventh spot qualifies for the UEFA Europa League, while the eighth secures a place in the Conference League.

The prediction for the Celta vs Rayo Vallecano match takes into account the importance of the standings for both teams, even though the bookmakers have clearly chosen a favorite. A win for the “Celts” is priced at 1.81, a draw at 4.05, and a victory for the “Bees” at 4.25. The over 2.5 total goals market is set at 1.76, indicating analysts expect an average scoring output by La Liga standards. The odds for both teams to score are 1.72.

Celta

Claudio Giráldez’s squad has improved in the second half of the season, allowing them to climb to a higher position. In their last four rounds, they have claimed three victories and suffered one away defeat to Real Madrid (2–3). Notably, their wins came against decent opponents: Villarreal 3–0 and Sevilla 3–2 at home, and Real Sociedad 1–0 away. As it stands, Celta is a competitive side with solid scoring and disciplined defense.

Rayo Vallecano

In contrast, Iñigo Pérez’s team declined noticeably in April, picking up just one point from four matches. They staged a minor comeback in May, winning two games—albeit against weaker opponents. They beat Getafe 1–0 at home and Las Palmas 1–0 away.

Among the top eight contenders for European competition, Rayo Vallecano has the lowest goal output. In 35 matches, they have scored only 37 goals. On the road, they average just 0.83 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Since 2022, the teams have met six times. Celta leads with two wins to Rayo’s one. However, in the first round of this season’s La Liga, Rayo won at home with a 2–1 scoreline.

Prediction

It’s worth noting that this week’s schedule is slightly tougher for the visitors. Rayo Vallecano still has to face Real Betis on Thursday, making full recovery by Sunday difficult. With that in mind, we predict a win for Celta at odds of 1.81.