Canada vs. Guatemala: CONCACAF Gold Cup Prediction (06.30.2025)

In the early hours of Monday, June 30 at 03.00 WIB, Canada will face Guatemala in the quarterfinals of the 2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup, held at U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis. Canada advanced as Group B winners, finishing ahead of Honduras, Curaçao, and El Salvador. Meanwhile, Guatemala secured second place in their group—surpassing Jamaica and Guadeloupe, but finishing behind Panama.

In the Canada vs. Guatemala match, bookmakers’ forecasts highlight the Maple Leafs as the clear favorite. You can bet on the Reds winning in regular time at odds of 1.52, and on them reaching the semi-finals at 1.24. The same markets for the White-Blues are priced at 6.34 and 3.90, respectively. Bookmaker experts are not expecting a high-scoring game: the total over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.94, while bets on both teams to score stand at 2.02.

Canada

The group-stage results for Jesse Marsch’s men were mixed. The Canucks once again showed their ability to surprise—both positively and negatively. They opened with a stunning 6–0 win over Honduras, but followed it with a disappointing 1–1 draw against the underdog Curaçao.

In their final group match against El Salvador, the group’s clear underdog, Canada dominated from the start. Yet, they failed to convert in the first half—even squandering a penalty. The game shifted only after El Salvador was reduced to nine men. One conclusion is clear: with Buchanan and company, unpredictability remains a defining trait.

Guatemala

Under Luis Fernando Tena, Guatemala is modest in technical quality but tactically disciplined. Their crucial group-stage match was against Jamaica, where they entered as underdogs. However, they managed to frustrate the opposition with compact, tenacious play. A lone goal in the 32nd minute by Óscar Santis (Antigua GFC) proved enough for the win.

In their final group match, Guatemala edged out Guadeloupe 3–2 in a dramatic finish. But against stronger sides, they are expected to “park the bus” and slow the game down to a crawl.

Statistics & Head-to-Head Record

The two sides last met in the 2023 CONCACAF Gold Cup group stage, ending in a goalless draw. Guatemala topped the group, while Canada finished second.

Prediction

Just two years after their last encounter, the dynamic between these teams has shifted. Guatemala has already exceeded expectations by reaching the quarterfinals. Still, a major upset seems unlikely. The safe bet is Canada to win in regulation time at odds of 1.52