Canada vs El Salvador: CONCACAF Gold Cup Prediction (25.06.2025)

On Wednesday, June 25 at 09:00 WIB, the national teams of Canada and El Salvador will meet at Shell Energy Stadium in Houston in the final match of Group B in the 2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup. Canada has collected four points and leads the group standings, while El Salvador sits in fourth place with one point. However, a win could still allow the underdog to advance to the knockout stage.

In the Canada vs El Salvador matchup, bookmakers give little chance to the underdog. Betting odds are 1.53 for a win by “The Reds,” 4.45 for a draw, and 5.75 for a win by “La Selecta.” Over 2.5 total goals is priced at 1.75, suggesting moderate scoring is expected. The odds for both teams to score are 1.86.

Canada

Jesse Marsch’s squad has shown they can surprise fans in both good and bad ways. In this tournament, the “Canucks” opened with a 6–0 thrashing of Honduras but then allowed a late equalizer against modest Curaçao, finishing 1–1 after conceding in the 94th minute.

Against Curaçao, the coaching staff chose to rest some of the main attacking players. Tajon Buchanan only came on in the 70th minute. While Canada took an early lead, they played very passively for the rest of the match. Why they approached such a winnable game so conservatively—especially when they could have secured advancement—is unclear.

El Salvador

Hernán Gómez brought a very modest team to the tournament. A 0–0 draw against Curaçao was already seen as a success. In their second match, “La Selecta” lost 0–2 to Honduras, which was also expected. The team’s attacking potential is extremely limited. Even in League B of the CONCACAF Nations League, El Salvador struggled to score despite facing much weaker island nations. It’s unlikely they can go toe-to-toe with Canada.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

In the 2021–2022 World Cup qualifiers, Canada defeated El Salvador twice without conceding a goal, with a combined score of 5–0.

Prediction

These two teams are currently on completely different levels. “The Reds” will be frustrated by the draw against Curaçao and will want to redeem themselves in this match. While a draw would be enough to advance, the gap in quality is too wide. We predict a win for Canada at odds of 1.53.