Bundesliga Prediction: Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen (04.05.2025)

On Sunday, May 4, 2025, at 22:30 WIB, Freiburg will host Bayer Leverkusen at the Europa-Park Stadium in a pivotal Bundesliga fixture. Both teams are fighting for a Champions League spot, with bookmakers giving a slight edge to the visitors. Let’s break down the latest team form, head-to-head stats, and top betting recommendations.

Freiburg’s Current Form in Bundesliga 2025

The Breisgau Brazilians currently sit 4th in the league standings with 51 points, clinging to the final Champions League qualification spot. Their position remains precarious:

• Leipzig trails by just 2 points

• Borussia Dortmund is 3 points behind
  

Interestingly, despite being in the top 4, Freiburg has a negative goal difference (44:47), highlighting their lack of attacking efficiency.

Freiburg has scored the fewest goals among the top half teams, struggling to convert chances even with solid defensive performances.

Bayer Leverkusen’s Current Form in Bundesliga 2025

Leverkusen has missed out on defending their Bundesliga title. Although Bayern Munich hasn’t clinched mathematically yet, they only need a draw from their remaining three games to seal it.

With no more realistic shot at the title and second place secured, Bayer approaches this match with less pressure:

• They can play with freedom and no risk of dropping position

• Head coach Xabi Alonso is rumored to depart in the summer, increasing the desire to end on a high note
  

Despite the circumstances, Leverkusen isn’t expected to coast, aiming to finish the season strong under Alonso’s leadership.

Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen: Head-to-Head Stats

In their last 5 meetings, Bayer holds the advantage:

• 3 wins for Bayer

• 1 win for Freiburg

• 1 draw
  

Earlier this season, Leverkusen dominated with a 5-1 victory at home. Find out more about our stats here.

Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips

Both teams have strong incentives: Freiburg needs points to secure top 4, while Leverkusen seeks a positive close to their campaign. Freiburg is known for their cautious play, while Leverkusen has tightened defensively recently.

Recommended Bet:

• Under 3 Total Goals – Odds: 1.68
  

Likely Scorelines:

• Freiburg 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen

• Freiburg 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen
  

Other Key Bundesliga Fixtures This Week

• Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel – Mid-table clash

• Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen – Battle for European spots

• Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig – Possible title decider
  

Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction Summary

Freiburg will likely adopt a conservative approach to secure vital points toward a Champions League berth. Bayer, free from pressure, will still look to impress under Xabi Alonso. A low-scoring game is a strong possibility.

Best Bet: Under 3 Total Goals – Odds: 1.68.