Brest vs Lille: Ligue 1 Prediction (11.05.2025)

On May 11, 2025 at 02:00 WIB, a Ligue 1 match between Brest and Lille will take place. For the hosts, this game holds little significance, while for the visitors, it is extremely important in terms of the league standings. Bookmakers see Lille as the clear favorite for this encounter. Let’s analyze the current form of both teams and offer our prediction for the match.

Brest

This season, the “Pirates” have been far from their previous year’s form. Not only are they out of contention for a top-three finish, but they are also out of the race for European competitions. Ahead of this match, Brest sits in ninth place in the table and has no mathematical chance of climbing higher than eighth. At the same time, they are six points clear of their nearest chasers, which means with only two matches remaining, Brest has virtually no motivation left.

It’s worth noting that the team has performed decently in attack, but their defense has been leaky. Their goal tally stands at 50 scored and 53 conceded. Towards the end of the season, Brest is also facing a defensive crisis with four defenders out injured.

Lille

The “Dogues” still have a chance to qualify for the Champions League. With two rounds remaining, they sit fifth in the standings, level on points with Nice but behind only on goal difference. The top of the table is very tight, meaning major changes could still happen in the final two games. Lille is even in the race for second place, as they are just two points behind the current runner-up. However, they are also only ahead of Strasbourg on goal difference. This sets the stage for a fiery end to the Ligue 1 season, with five teams fighting directly for second place.

Head-to-Head Stats

The last five meetings between these teams have been completely in Lille’s favor: 3 wins and 2 draws. The first match between them this season ended in a 3-1 home victory for Lille.

Prediction

For the Brest vs Lille match, our prediction favors the visitors. For Lille, this match is crucial, while Brest is playing out the season without motivation. Therefore, we recommend betting on a Lille win at odds of 1.78.