Brazil vs Paraguay: 2026 World Cup Qualifier Prediction (11.06.2025)

On Wednesday, June 11 at 07:45 WIB, Brazil’s national team will host Paraguay at the “Neo Química Arena” in São Paulo for Round 16 of the South American qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup. The two teams are neighbors in the current standings. The home team has collected 22 points and sits in fourth place. The visitors have two points more and are in third place.

In the Brazil – Paraguay clash, bookmakers’ predictions fully favor the home team. A bet on a victory for the “penta campeones” is offered at odds of 1.48, a draw at 4.20, and a win for the “guarani” at 8.05. Experts do not expect a high-scoring match: betting on over 2.5 goals is set at 2.13, while betting on both teams to score is offered at 2.27.

Brazil

Many fans were disappointed by the goalless debut of the new head coach, Carlo Ancelotti. But let’s not forget that Brazil played away against one of the current qualifiers’ leaders, Ecuador, which has the fewest losses in this tournament. The “yellow-greens” were unable to impose their game and didn’t control territory, mainly due to the successful defense and midfield actions of their opponents. Ancelotti promised that against Paraguay, the game would be completely different — the team needs to play more aggressively up front and break through the opponent’s packed defense.

Paraguay

Gustavo Alfaro once again impressed with his ability to make the most of the squad available. In the home match against Uruguay, the “red and whites” completely gave up possession but didn’t let the opponent create any dangerous attacks. On the contrary, Paraguay’s left wing was highly effective. Here, young talent Julio Enciso from Ipswich, Matias Galarza from Cordoba, and the experienced Antonio Sanabria from Torino all shone. It’s worth noting that the 2-0 win over Uruguay marked Paraguay’s ninth consecutive unbeaten match in this qualification cycle.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Since 2021, the teams have played each other four times. Brazil won three times, but in the first round of the current qualifiers, Paraguay won 1-0 at home.

Prediction

The Paraguay team is known for its ability to get the most out of matches without focusing too much on attack. They currently sit third in the table, having scored only 13 goals in 15 matches. It’s clear that the visitors will try to contain the home team’s fast attack throughout the match. Doing so without committing fouls will be difficult. Therefore, we suggest betting on Paraguay to win the yellow card count at odds of 1.68.