Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel: Bundesliga Prediction (17.05.2025)

On 17 May 2025 at 20:30 WIB, Borussia Dortmund will host Holstein Kiel at Signal Iduna Park for the final round of the Bundesliga 2024/25 season. While the outcome won’t affect Holstein Kiel, who are already relegated, it is a crucial match for the hosts who are fighting for a top-four finish and a place in the UEFA Champions League.

Borussia Dortmund

The Black and Yellows enter the final round in 5th place on the table. This position only guarantees a spot in the Europa League, but with just 1 point behind Freiburg and 3 behind Eintracht Frankfurt, Dortmund still has a realistic shot at the top 4.

The key twist: Freiburg and Eintracht will face each other in the final round. This means at least one will drop points — giving Niko Kovac’s side a huge opportunity. If Freiburg loses, a draw would be enough for Dortmund to overtake them. If Freiburg wins, Dortmund must win and overcome a slight goal difference gap (+20 vs +17).

Their current form is excellent — 6 wins and 1 draw (against Bayern Munich) in their last 7 matches.

Holstein Kiel

This will be Holstein Kiel’s final match in the Bundesliga for at least another season. Currently in 17th place, they are already mathematically relegated with a 4-point gap behind Heidenheim.

They’ve struggled all season, especially defensively — conceding 77 goals in 33 matches, the worst in the league. Their away performances have mostly yielded results only against bottom-half teams. Against a highly motivated Dortmund at home, chances look bleak.

Head-to-Head Stats

In the first half of the season, Holstein Kiel shocked Dortmund with a 3-0 lead by halftime and ultimately won the match at home. However, Dortmund was in crisis form at the time and faced a difficult schedule.

Prediction

For Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel, the clear prediction favors the hosts. With Champions League qualification at stake and facing a relegated side, Dortmund is expected to dominate early.

✅ Betting tip: Dortmund to win in the first 15 minutes
💸 Odds: 2.68