Bolivia vs Chile: 2026 World Cup Qualifier Prediction (11.06.2025)

On June 11, 2025, at 03:00 WIB, the World Cup qualification match between Bolivia and Chile will take place at “Estadio Municipal de El Alto.” Bookmakers consider the hosts as the favorites for this match. The main advantage for Bolivia is the unique location of their home stadium. Let’s look at the current form of both teams and give our prediction for the game.

Bolivia

The Bolivian national team continues to show inconsistent and overall mediocre results. After 15 qualification matches, the team has only managed to collect 14 points and sits in eighth place in the standings. Bolivia hasn’t won in six consecutive matches. With the current qualification format, that’s not enough to secure a World Cup ticket. To be in contention, they need to climb at least to seventh place. At the moment, they are 4 points behind their nearest competitor, Venezuela.

However, Bolivia has one key advantage — their home stadium. Despite their poor form away from home, at home “La Verde” regularly creates problems even for the favorites in the qualifying group. The key lies in the extreme conditions: the stadium is located at an altitude of about 4,100 meters above sea level, which greatly affects the physical condition of visiting teams. Local players are accustomed to playing in thin air, while many opponents need to use oxygen masks upon arrival.

Chile

Chile is also a mountainous country. However, their home stadium is located in Santiago at about 520 meters above sea level. So, traveling to Bolivia will be a real challenge for the Chilean players too.

Moreover, Chile has been the worst team in the 2026 World Cup qualification so far — with only 10 points and sitting at the bottom of the table. The situation is even worse in away matches. Ricardo Gareca’s team only recently collected their first away points with a draw against Peru. The other six away games all ended in defeat. Notably, even if they manage a draw in the upcoming match, Chile would become the first South American team to be mathematically eliminated from the World Cup.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

In the last five head-to-head meetings between these two teams, Chile has a slight advantage with two wins compared to Bolivia’s one. The other two games ended in draws.

Prediction

For the Bolivia vs Chile match, we predict a win for the home team. Bolivia’s main advantage has always been their high-altitude home stadium. Since moving from La Paz to El Alto, the situation has become even harder for visiting teams. In this case, the geographic factor should play its part. Therefore, we recommend betting on a Bolivia win at odds of 1.64.