Benfica vs Fenerbahçe: Champions League Prediction (27.08.2025)

On August 27, 2025 at 21:00 CEST, the second leg of the UEFA Champions League qualification final will take place between Benfica and Fenerbahçe. This time the teams will meet in Lisbon, and unlike the first encounter, the Portuguese side is already considered the favorite. Let’s review the current form of both teams and give our prediction for the match.

Benfica

Benfica started the new season with remarkable confidence. The club made targeted signings in the summer, and the newcomers immediately began to deliver. Since their defeat against Chelsea in the Club World Cup, the “Eagles” have not stumbled: they won all their friendlies, defeated Sporting in the Portuguese Super Cup, and in the first leg against Fenerbahçe managed to hold a draw away, even while playing with ten men. However, Florentino’s red card means he will miss the return match.

Away from home, Benfica played cautiously, conceding initiative to the opponent, and looked less sharp in attack. But the draw was largely thanks to Anatoliy Trubin – the Ukrainian goalkeeper had a brilliant game and was rightly named the hero of the match.

Fenerbahçe

The “Yellow Canaries” failed to reach the Champions League last season. That makes qualification one of José Mourinho’s top objectives this year. The club’s management wants to see their team in Europe’s most prestigious competition. In the previous round, Fenerbahçe gave their fans a scare by losing the first leg against Feyenoord (1:2), but responded spectacularly in the return game with a 5:2 victory.

The start of their domestic league campaign was disappointing – a 0:0 draw with Göztepe. But it’s clear Mourinho prioritized European competition and prepared specifically for Benfica. Even at home, the Canaries played with extreme caution, seemingly more focused on not conceding than on scoring.

Head-to-head statistics

The teams have already met twice this summer. First, in a friendly match, Benfica came out on top (3:2). Then last week, they played out a goalless draw. Interestingly, Fenerbahçe looked sharper at home: shots – 13:9, shots on target – 6:3.

Prediction

For the Benfica vs Fenerbahçe match, our prediction favors the home side. The support of the home crowd will be a decisive factor. Therefore, we suggest betting on Benfica to advance (including possible extra time and penalties) at odds of 1.50.