Benfica vs Bayern: Club World Cup Prediction (25.06.2025)

On June 25, 2025, at 02:00 WIB, Benfica and Bayern will face off at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, in the third round of the group stage of the Club World Cup. This is a clash between the leaders of Group C. The match will determine who finishes top of the group, and theoretically, Benfica could still miss out on the playoffs. Bundesliga champions Bayern are considered the favorites by bookmakers. Let’s take a look at the current form of both teams and our prediction for the match.

Benfica

The “Eagles” had a tough start to the tournament. They barely avoided defeat in their first match against Boca Juniors, coming back from 0–2 down to earn a draw. In the second round, things were much easier, as Benfica faced the weakest team in the tournament — Auckland — and won 6–0. That result brought Benfica to four points, placing them second in the group, two points behind Bayern.

However, the three-point lead over Boca Juniors does not yet guarantee Benfica a place in the playoffs. Despite having a much better goal difference, they cannot afford to relax. Auckland has conceded 16 goals in two matches, so Boca’s motivated squad could easily secure a big win against them. In that case, a loss could drop Benfica to third place.

Bayern

Bayern clearly came to the Club World Cup with serious intentions. The club is fighting not only for the title but also for the prize money, with the tournament winner standing to earn up to €125 million. It’s a great opportunity to strengthen the squad before the end of the current transfer window.

In their opening match, Bayern crushed Auckland 10–0. However, in the second round, Boca Juniors gave them a real challenge. The German giants only managed to grab a 2–1 win late in the match. Nevertheless, the two victories gave Bayern the maximum six points and the top spot in the standings. Bayern has already secured their place in the playoffs.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

Since 2018, the teams have faced each other five times. All matches ended in victory for Bayern. Notably, players from both Bayern and Benfica dominate the top scorer list of this year’s tournament. For Bayern, Olise and Musiala have each scored 3 goals, while Coman and Müller have 2 apiece. For Benfica, the top scorers are Di Maria (3 goals) and Barreiro (2 goals). This scoring success is largely due to both teams having played against Auckland.

Prediction

For the Benfica vs Bayern match, we predict a draw. While it’s a risky pick, the result would benefit both teams. Bayern would stay at the top of the group, and Benfica would secure a spot in the playoffs. Therefore, we suggest betting on a draw at odds of 3.10.