Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg: Bundesliga Prediction (April 26, 2025)

On Saturday, April 26 at 18:30 Astana time, Bayer Leverkusen will host Augsburg at the BayArena in Matchday 31 of the 2024–2025 Bundesliga season. The home side still has a mathematical chance of catching Bayern Munich in the title race, but realistically, overcoming an eight-point gap with only four matches left is nearly impossible. Augsburg also has a slim chance of reaching the top six for European qualification, but given the fierce competition in the upper part of the table, it’s unlikely they’ll manage such a leap from their current 10th place.

Let’s break down the prediction for Bayer vs Augsburg, taking into account the difference in squad quality and relatively low motivational stakes in the standings. Unsurprisingly, the bookmakers have made Bayer the clear favorite. A win for the “Werkself” is priced at 1.39, a draw at 5.05, and a win for the “Fuggers” at 8.55. The over 2.5 goals market sits at 1.79, which indicates expectations for a modest number of goals by Bundesliga standards. Both teams to score is offered at 2.10.

Bayer Leverkusen

The last month has been quite disappointing for Xabi Alonso. First, Bayer was knocked out of the DFB-Pokal by underdogs Arminia Bielefeld in the semifinal. It’s clear they underestimated their opponents. Then came a narrow 1-0 win over bottom-tier Heidenheim, followed by dropped points in a 0-0 draw with Union Berlin and a 1-1 draw against St. Pauli. Slowly but surely, Wirtz and company have seen their title hopes slip away. It’s no surprise that rumors have started circulating about a possible coaching change.

Augsburg

Things are going much better for Jess Thorup. Augsburg has suffered just one loss in their last 14 league matches—against Bayern Munich at home, losing 1-3. Still, Augsburg remains one of the lowest-scoring teams in the Bundesliga: only 33 goals in 30 matches. On the road, they average just 1.33 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Stats

Since 2022, the two teams have met six times, with Bayer leading 4 wins to 2. In the first half of this season, Leverkusen beat Augsburg 2-0 away from home.

Prediction

Bayer is currently going through a rather uninspiring phase. The visitors are expected to play defensively as usual against one of the Bundesliga’s top sides. Our prediction: Bayer to avoid defeat and under 3.5 total goals, with odds of 1.56.