Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Copa del Rey Prediction (April 27, 2025)

On April 27, 2025, at 01:00 Astana time, another El Clasico will take place. This time, Barcelona and Real Madrid will face off in the Copa del Rey final. Bookmakers slightly favor the Catalan side as the favorite. Let’s take a look at both teams’ current form and share our prediction for this match.

Barcelona

Barcelona are still in contention for a treble this season. They lead the league by four points and have also reached the Champions League semifinals, where they’ll face Inter just four days after this final. Despite their packed schedule, Barcelona have been delivering excellent performances. Hansi Flick’s side recently suffered their first defeat of 2025, losing to Borussia D, which highlights how consistent they’ve been throughout the year. Interestingly, Flick hasn’t changed his tactical approach and continues to use a high defensive line, a strategy that was widely criticized earlier in the season. However, their defensive vulnerabilities are completely offset by their highly productive attacking play. And this style of play tends to cause serious problems for Real Madrid.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid were unexpectedly knocked out of the Champions League, having lost both legs of the quarterfinals to Arsenal. Things aren’t going entirely smoothly for Carlo Ancelotti’s team in La Liga either. Although trailing Barcelona by four points isn’t a disaster yet, they’ll have to rely on their rivals to slip up. Especially since there’s still one more El Clasico to play in the league, during matchweek 35. But Real’s recent form has raised a lot of concerns. They’ve been scoring fewer goals lately, which has directly affected their results. The Vinicius–Mbappe partnership isn’t clicking, and Jude Bellingham seems worn out from playing out of position and isn’t performing at his peak either. It’s clear that the players will come into El Clasico highly motivated. But the lingering question is how recent setbacks and a string of injuries will impact their game. Notably, Mbappe, Mendy, Alaba, and Camavinga will miss the match.

Head-to-Head and Stats

In the last five official meetings, Real Madrid hold the upper hand with three wins. However, both encounters this season ended in big wins for Barcelona, with scores of 4-0 and 5-2. It’s also worth noting that all five matches were high-scoring affairs, with at least three goals in each.

Prediction

For the Barcelona vs Real Madrid clash, our prediction leans toward a high-scoring game. Barcelona are a highly offensive team with defensive issues, so both sides scoring looks likely. That said, Flick will have to manage his squad with the Champions League in mind, whereas Ancelotti has the freedom to go all-in. Therefore, we recommend betting on “Real Madrid not to lose in regular time and over 2.5 total goals,” with odds of 2.80.