Barcelona vs Inter Milan: Champions League Prediction (01.05.2025)

On May 1, 2025, at 00:00 (Astana time), the first semifinal match of the Champions League between Barcelona and Inter will take place. Bookmakers consider the Catalans as the favorites. But will the teams be able to show their best form after tough matches in domestic competitions? Let’s analyze the upcoming encounter and provide our prediction for the game.

Barcelona

The Catalans approach this match after playing in El Clasico. The team had to exert a lot of energy in their battle against Real Madrid. The Copa del Rey final did not end in regular time and went into extra time. Barcelona managed to win 3:2, but the players left a lot of energy on the pitch. The team played for 120 minutes, and with added stoppage time, the total was 140 minutes.

One of Barcelona’s key advantages going into this clash with Inter was their younger squad. However, after such an exhausting match, this factor might be somewhat diminished. The one thing that will certainly remain unchanged is Hansi Flick’s high defensive line.

Inter Milan

Inter Milan come into this match in less-than-ideal form. The team has given Napoli a huge opportunity in the Scudetto race, which has created noticeable pressure in the championship fight. In this sense, Barcelona might feel more comfortable, with a 4-point lead over Real Madrid. Inter also recently suffered a heavy defeat to Milan (0:3) in the Coppa Italia. This marked the fifth time this season that Simone Inzaghi’s side failed to beat their city rivals, who are only mid-table.

However, Inter look much more confident in the Champions League. In the previous round, the team eliminated Bayern, despite being considered the underdog. While Inter’s squad is clearly inferior to Barcelona’s on paper, their main strength remains a well-organized defense and Inzaghi’s tactical ability to structure the team’s play according to each opponent.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Since 2018, the teams have met 6 times. The statistics are in favor of Barcelona, with 3 wins and 1 loss. The other two encounters ended in draws.

Prediction

In the Barcelona vs Inter Milan match, we predict a win for the visitors. The Catalans have expended a lot of energy in El Clasico, and they will now face a very organized and experienced defense. Barcelona may have a slight advantage in terms of better control of the ball in the midfield. However, the Italian giants are capable of capitalizing on the mistakes of their ultra-attacking opponents, as seen in the previous round against Bayern. Therefore, we suggest betting on a +1 handicap for Inter at odds of 1.66.