Australia vs Japan: World Cup Qualification Prediction (05.06.2025)

On June 5, 2025, at 18:10 WIB, a World Cup qualification match will take place between the national teams of Australia and Japan. Bookmakers consider the opponents to be roughly equal in strength, which only adds to the intrigue. Let’s review the current form of both teams and give a prediction for the match.

Australia

The “Socceroos” are one of the strongest national teams in their region. However, they had a poor start in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, losing to Bahrain in the first round (0–1). After that, Australia went seven matches unbeaten, though not without dropping points: 3 wins and 4 draws. Currently, the team sits in second place in the group but has not yet secured qualification for the World Cup. Therefore, Australia needs to earn points in the upcoming match, especially since their last game will be against Saudi Arabia.

Japan

The “Blue Samurai” have already secured their place in the World Cup. The team has been performing excellently in the qualifiers and confidently leads the table, remaining unbeaten in eight rounds: 6 wins and 2 draws. They are heading to Australia in good spirits and without tournament pressure. With two rounds remaining in the third qualifying round, Japan’s lead over Australia has reached seven points. All key players are fit, including Endo, Kubo, Ueda, and Minamino.

Statistics and Head-to-Head Meetings

Since 2016, the teams have met five times. The record over this period is completely in Japan’s favor: 3 wins and 2 draws. Their first meeting in the current qualifiers ended in a 1–1 draw.

It’s worth noting that Japan holds a statistical advantage in terms of ball possession percentage and passing accuracy. The “Blue Samurai” also use long balls well and are capable of quick counterattacks. Australia, on the other hand, excels in physical strength, plays more actively in defense, and has a better duel success rate. In this matchup, expect the visitors to play more cautiously using short passes, while the hosts may play more direct and aggressive football.

Prediction

Predicting the winner of Australia vs Japan is difficult. Statistically, the home team is expected to commit more fouls. The Japanese play more carefully and earn fewer yellow cards. Taking into account the motivation factor and home crowd support, we recommend betting on Australia’s individual total goals over 1 at odds of 1.85.