Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona: La Liga Prediction (26.05.2025)

On May 26, 2025, at 2:00 WIB, the final round match of the Spanish La Liga championship between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona will take place. The bookmakers consider the visitors only slight favorites. Let’s take a look at the current form of both teams and give our prediction for the match.

Athletic Bilbao

“The Basques” are having one of their best seasons. The team reached the semi-finals of the Europa League. In the league, the Bilbao side has firmly secured a place in the top four and is guaranteed to play in the Champions League next season. Overall, Ernesto Valverde’s men have had a very consistent campaign. The main strength of the ‘Lions’ has been their reliable defense. In fact, Athletic’s backline is the most effective in the current league season — only 26 goals conceded in 37 matches. Heading into the upcoming game, Athletic are on a five-match unbeaten run in the league, without conceding a single goal. In their last 10 league matches, Unai Simón has conceded just two goals.

Barcelona

“The Catalans” enter the final round as champions. The team has completed a domestic double. After their derby victory over Espanyol, the players noticeably relaxed, and in the previous round, Barcelona suffered their first La Liga defeat of 2025, losing 2–3 to Villarreal. Defensively, Hansi Flick’s side lacks reliability, largely due to their high defensive line style of play. However, in attack, they are arguably the most fearsome team this season — not just in Spain, but in the world. Notably, Barcelona have scored 99 goals in 37 rounds. The team will clearly aim to take that number into triple digits.

Head-to-Head Stats

The statistics from the last five head-to-head meetings between these teams favor Barcelona. The Catalans have won three times. The Basques managed to draw twice, one of which they converted into a win after extra time in a cup match last season.

Prediction

For the Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona match, our prediction favors the visitors. Both teams have already achieved their objectives for the season. However, this season’s performance statistics and head-to-head results are in favor of the Blaugrana. Therefore, a bet on Barcelona with a draw no bet at odds of 1.62 looks appealing.