Atalanta vs Roma: Serie A Prediction (13.05.2025)

The Serie A match between Atalanta and Roma will take place on 13 May 2025 at 01:45 WIB. Despite Roma’s phenomenal recent form, bookmakers consider the home side the favorites. We will review both teams’ current form and offer our prediction.

Atalanta
The Bergamo side remain firmly in the top three of the league. However, a spot in the Champions League is not yet guaranteed as Juventus, Roma, and Lazio are close behind. A win would virtually secure a top-four finish for Gasperini’s team. Atalanta are one of the most attacking teams in Serie A this season with 71 goals – trailing only Inter. Defensively, they have also been solid, conceding just 31 goals, the second-best record after Napoli. This has been achieved despite an injury crisis in defense, with only four recognized defenders available, as Kolasinac, Kossounou, Posch, and Scalvini remain sidelined.

Roma
The “Wolves” under Claudio Ranieri are playing phenomenally well. The coach has not only pulled the team out of crisis but has also turned them into one of the most consistent sides in Europe’s top five leagues. Roma have not lost since mid-December and are now close to breaking into the top four. Even top teams haven’t been able to stop them – in their last five league matches, they’ve faced Fiorentina (1-0), Inter (1-0), Lazio (1-1), and Juventus (1-1). Roma’s defense deserves special mention, having conceded just three goals in their last 10 Serie A games.

Statistics and Head-to-Head
The last five head-to-head meetings heavily favor Atalanta: four wins and one draw. Their first meeting this season ended in a 2-0 away win for Atalanta.

Prediction
We predict a low-scoring match between Atalanta and Roma. Roma’s defense has been organized and resilient, even against the strongest opponents. Atalanta also boast one of the most efficient defensive records this season. Therefore, a bet on total goals under 3 at odds of 1.60 is recommended.