Arsenal vs PSG: Champions League Prediction (30.04.2025)

On April 30, 2025, at 00:00 (Astana time), the first semifinal match of the Champions League between Arsenal and PSG will take place. Not many expected these two clubs to get this far in the tournament. Let’s analyze the current form of both teams and provide our prediction for the game.

Arsenal

The Gunners have lost their chances of winning the Premier League title, but they are performing well in the Champions League. In the group stage, the Londoners finished among the top three and secured direct qualification to the Round of 16. Arsenal started the knockout phase phenomenally, scoring 9 goals against PSV in 2 matches (5:1 and 4:2). This was a result that even Arsenal fans didn’t expect. But the biggest surprise came in the quarterfinals against a team whose name is closely associated with the Champions League – Real Madrid. Despite mostly skeptical predictions from analysts, the Gunners won both matches (3:0 and 2:1), making them the main favorites for the tournament.

The list of injured players is still considerable: Kai Havertz, Gabriel Jesus, Jorginho, Ricardo Calafiori, and Gabriel Magalhães. However, it’s worth noting that Arsenal has managed well without these players in previous matches. Additionally, Thomas Partey will miss the game due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

PSG

Paris Saint-Germain could have missed out on the Champions League playoffs altogether. The team only made it into the top 24 in the final stages of the group phase. Before that, PSG’s performance had been rather disjointed. However, Luis Enrique has managed to instill a disciplined, entertaining, and, most importantly, effective style of play into the team. Now, it’s no longer just a group of players; it’s a well-organized mechanism. To strengthen the squad, PSG signed Khvicha Kvaratskhelia in the winter, who has become the star of the current PSG lineup. The Georgian forward has seamlessly fit into the coach’s tactics and now causes trouble on the left wing of the attack.

In Ligue 1, PSG secured the championship early and has focused entirely on the Champions League. This is evident in their recent results. The team suffered their first loss in this season’s Ligue 1, losing 1:3 at home to Nice. As for their Champions League journey, PSG eliminated Aston Villa in the previous round. However, their biggest achievement so far has been defeating Liverpool, a team widely considered one of the main contenders for a final spot.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Since 2007, the two teams have met five times. Arsenal has the clear advantage with 3 wins and 2 draws. The last encounter between the sides took place in the current Champions League season, in the second round of the group stage. Arsenal won 2:0 at home.

Prediction

In the Arsenal vs PSG match, we predict a victory for the home team. Paris Saint-Germain will face a more organized defense than they’ve encountered since their last meeting with Arsenal. Therefore, we recommend betting on a zero handicap for Arsenal at odds of 1.58.