Argentina vs Colombia: 2026 World Cup Qualifier Prediction (11.06.2025)

On Wednesday, June 11 at 07:00 WIB at the Estadio Monumental in Buenos Aires, the Argentina national football team will host Colombia in the 16th round of the South American qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup. The home side has already secured first place in the group and a direct ticket to the finals. The visitors sit in sixth place, just three points ahead of Venezuela in seventh, so they are highly motivated to get a result in every match.

Given the quality and current form of the two sides, bookmakers are fully backing the home team. The odds for an Argentina win are 1.73, a draw is 3.72, and a Colombia win is 5.30. The over 2.5 goals market is priced at 2.20, indicating that experts don’t expect a high-scoring match. For both teams to score, the odds are 2.08.

Argentina

Despite having already secured World Cup qualification comfortably and ahead of schedule, Lionel Scaloni fielded his strongest lineup in the previous qualifier against Chile. Even Lionel Messi came on in the second half, although Albiceleste was already leading 1-0 at that point. This shows that the team has a great atmosphere and high competitive motivation. It seems Argentina is determined to defend its title and continue fine-tuning its squad, even without tournament pressure.

Colombia

Nestor Lorenzo’s squad is far from star-studded compared to their opponent this time. However, the team still has several top-level players: Jhon Duran from Al-Nassr, Daniel Munoz from Crystal Palace, James Rodriguez from Leon, among others. Luis Diaz from Liverpool is absent for the June matches. However, even without him, the goalless home draw against Peru can be considered a failure. Moreover, Colombia has failed to win in their last five matches. If this continues, the prospect of dropping out of the top six becomes very real. And in the final round, they still have to face a direct competitor—Venezuela—away from home.

Statistics and Head to Head

Since 2021, the teams have met five times. In the last World Cup qualifiers, they drew 2-2 in Colombia, while Argentina won 1-0 at home. In the last two Copa America tournaments, the teams drew in regular time, but Argentina won both matches in the end. In the first round of the current qualifiers, Colombia won 2-1 at home.

Prediction

In the last two rounds, Colombia unexpectedly dropped points even though they were the favorites. Now they have to chase results. Argentina, on the other hand, has no need to push hard at the end of a long season. The recommended bet here is on Colombia +1 handicap at 1.65.