Alaves vs Osasuna: La Liga Prediction (25.05.2025)

On May 25, 2025 at 2:00 WIB, Alaves will host Osasuna in the final round of the Spanish La Liga at Mendizorrotza Stadium. This is one of the few closing fixtures of the season with real intrigue. Bookmakers see the teams as evenly matched, giving a slight edge to the visitors. Let’s analyze both teams’ current form and find the most interesting betting angle.

Alaves

“The Bean Destroyers” have confirmed their status as a solid mid-table side this season. Sitting 14th in the standings, they’ve secured their spot in La Liga next season, being four points clear of the relegation zone. This outcome only became possible due to their strong recent run — not long ago, they were among the relegation contenders. The team began earning points steadily from March, losing only to Athletic Bilbao in their last six matches.

Osasuna

“The Little Reds” side has major motivation coming into this final match. Currently ninth in the table, they’re just outside the European competition zone, with only the top eight qualifying. They trail Rayo Vallecano only on head-to-head results and are just one point behind Celta Vigo, currently seventh. Thus, only a win will do in this last round. With just one loss in their last nine league games — a 4-2 away defeat to Villarreal — Osasuna is in solid form.

Head-to-Head Stats

In the last five encounters between these two sides, the record is even: 2 wins each and 1 draw. Their first meeting this season ended in a 2-2 draw.

Prediction

Given the higher motivation of the visitors, we expect Osasuna to take the initiative. A good bet here would be Osasuna (Draw No Bet) at odds of 1.74.