Alaves vs Levante: La Liga Prediction (16.08.2025)

On August 16, 2025, at 20:30 CET, at the Estadio Mendizorrotza in Vitoria-Gasteiz, the match between Alaves and Levante will take place as part of the opening round of the Spanish championship. Bookmakers consider the teams to be roughly equal in strength. Let’s take a look at the condition of both sides ahead of the new season and give our prediction for the match.

Alaves

Los Babazorros finished last season in great form, which allowed them to avoid relegation to the second division. The team ended up in 15th place, only two points clear of the relegation zone. No major changes are expected in Alaves’ playing style, and the starting lineup has not undergone significant changes either. In the transfer market, the club was not particularly active, focusing instead on finding inexpensive young players or signing free agents. Pre-season results were unremarkable: Alaves secured narrow wins against Athletic Bilbao and Castellon from the second division, lost to Girona and Huesca, and drew with Eibar.

Levante

Los Granotas returned to the top flight after three years. The team’s only goal for the season is to secure their place in La Liga. To do so, they need to pick up points against opponents like Alaves, who narrowly escaped relegation last season, as competing with stronger teams will be more difficult. Last season, Levante won the second division and performed relatively well away from home. However, the club’s budget has not allowed for significant squad reinforcements. As a result, more emphasis was placed on preparation through friendly matches. Levante lost only one of their six pre-season games, although their opponents were relatively weak. The sole defeat came against Castellon.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between the sides, Levante has the edge with two wins. However, the last three consecutive encounters have all ended in draws.

Prediction

For the Alaves vs Levante match, the prediction is in favor of the home team. The visitors need time to adapt to the top division, and without significant squad reinforcements, it will be difficult for them to compete even against lower-table teams. Therefore, the best option is to bet on Alaves to win with a 0 handicap at odds of 1.65.