Alavés vs Atletico Madrid: La Liga Prediction (03.05.2025)

Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Prediction for May 3, 2025: La Liga Analysis and Betting Tips

On Saturday, May 3, 2025, at 17:00 WIB, Deportivo Alavés will host Atletico Madrid at Estadio Mendizorrotza in a Matchday 35 fixture of the 2024–2025 La Liga season. While bookmakers slightly favor the visitors, the motivation gap between both teams is significant, with Alaves desperate to avoid relegation and Atletico playing with little at stake.

Here’s a detailed breakdown of current form, head-to-head stats, and the best betting advice for this match.

Alavés’ Current Form

Alaves, nicknamed Los Babazorros, approach this match with much more urgency. The club sits in 17th place, just two points above the relegation zone, with Las Palmas closing in fast.

They recently boosted morale with a vital win over Real Sociedad, but will be missing a key player — central defender Abdel Abqar — who suffered an injury in the match against Real Madrid.

Alaves knows that any dropped points from now on could cost them their top-flight status.

Atletico Madrid’s Current Form

Atletico Madrid, under Diego Simeone, has effectively dropped out of the title race. They trail Barcelona by 10 points and Real Madrid by 6, with little hope of climbing higher than third place, where they currently sit.

That said, Atletico is safely ahead of fourth-placed Athletic Bilbao by six points, giving them a comfortable cushion.

Despite limited motivation, Atletico has continued to play well. They come into this match fresh off a 3-0 derby win over Rayo Vallecano. Even better, Simeone has a fully fit squad at his disposal, with no major injury concerns among his starters.

Head-to-Head Record: Alavés vs Atletico Madrid

Over their last five meetings, Atletico has won three times, while Alaves has won twice — a competitive record suggesting Alaves is no pushover in this fixture.

Earlier this season, Atletico narrowly won 2-1 at home against Alaves.

Don’t miss the full match statistics here [link]

Prediction and Betting Tips: Alavés vs Atletico Madrid

While Alavés will be fired up due to their relegation battle, the class difference remains clear. Atletico Madrid, even with less on the line, has the depth and experience to handle this challenge — especially with a full squad available.

Recommended Bet:

• Atletico Madrid to Win (Full Time)
• Odds: 2.17

Predicted Scorelines:

• Alavés 0-2 Atletico Madrid
• Alavés 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Conclusion: Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Alaves are fighting for survival, but Atletico Madrid’s quality, form, and full squad strength give them the edge. With fewer risks and more consistency, Diego Simeone’s side is well-positioned to take all three points.

Top betting pick: Atletico Madrid to win at odds of 2.17.