AEK vs Anderlecht: UEFA Conference League Qualification Prediction (28.08.2025)

On Thursday, August 28 at 20:00 CEST, AEK Athens will host Anderlecht in the second leg of the UEFA Conference League qualification playoff final. The first leg ended in a 1-1 draw, adding intrigue to this decisive clash. Bookmakers still consider the Greek side as slight favorites.

AEK Athens

Greek clubs have shown good form in this year’s European qualifiers, and AEK is no exception. Starting from the second qualifying round, the team has already edged past Hapoel Be’er Sheva and Aris Thessaloniki, though both ties were tense. Against Hapoel, they advanced thanks to a single goal across two legs, while versus Aris, they needed extra time. The duel with “Paars-wit” is shaping up to be just as unpredictable.

Anderlecht

The Belgian side are regulars in European competitions. Last season, they reached the Europa League group stage and advanced to the knockout rounds before losing to Fenerbahçe. This season, they narrowly missed another Europa League run after a penalty shootout loss to Häcken.

In the Conference League, however, “Paars-wit” have looked confident, beating Sheriff 4-1 on aggregate. Domestically, they have three wins and one loss (to Waregem). The Belgian FA postponed their weekend fixture against Gent, allowing them to fully focus on this decisive tie.

Head-to-head statistics

Last week’s 1-1 draw was the first meeting since 2011. Anderlecht dominated at home with clear superiority: expected goals 2.08–0.85, total shots 20-11, and shots on target 10-5.

Prediction

In AEK vs Anderlecht, the prediction leans toward the visitors. Despite being considered underdogs by the bookmakers, Anderlecht look more composed and have a stronger squad.

The value bet: Anderlecht not to lose at Odds 1.84.