Lyon vs Marseille: Ligue 1 Prediction (31.08.2025)

On 31 August 2025 at 20:45 CEST, Lyon will host Marseille in the third round of Ligue 1. Bookmakers rate the teams as roughly equal in strength. Let’s review their current form and provide a prediction.

Lyon

“Les Gones” had a strong preseason, losing just once, and entered Ligue 1 in good shape. In the opening round, Paulo Fonseca’s men earned three points away at Lens (1:0). The game wasn’t easy, with Lens controlling much of the play, but Georges Mikautadze scored just before halftime to secure the win. Despite 11 shots, Lyon only managed three on target, which was still enough.

In the second round, Lyon hosted Metz and looked far superior in every statistic. The result was a comfortable 3:0 victory. The team have started the campaign perfectly, collecting two wins and keeping clean sheets in both games.

Marseille

Marseille also looked sharp in preseason, going unbeaten in six matches (3 wins, 3 draws). But their Ligue 1 start was rocky. Against Rennes away, they had a man advantage from the 31st minute and an xG of 1.79, but couldn’t convert. Instead, they conceded late and lost 0:1.

In the second round, Roberto De Zerbi’s team bounced back against newly promoted Paris FC. Marseille played aggressively and won 5:2, restoring confidence ahead of this big clash.

Head-to-head statistics

Marseille dominate recent meetings, winning 4 of the last 5 against Lyon. Four of those matches went over 2.5 goals.

Prediction

For Lyon vs Marseille, we expect a high-scoring game. Both sides play attacking, open football, making goals likely.

Bet: Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.86