Genk vs Lech Poznań: Europa League Qualification Prediction (28.08.2025)

On August 28, 2025, at 20:00 CEST, the second leg of the Europa League qualification final will take place at Chase Stadium, where Genk host Lech Poznań. The Belgian side are seen as favorites for the match, though it seems the winner of this tie may have already been decided last week.

Genk

Belgian side Genk missed out on European competition last season. This year, however, the team already have one foot in the Europa League group stage. Despite this, their start to the new campaign has been quite unstable. In the Belgian league, Genk only picked up their first win in round four, beating Leuven 2–1. Against stronger rivals such as Antwerp (1–1), Club Brugge (1–2), and Standard Liège (1–2), “The Smurfs” struggled significantly.

In Europa League qualification, Genk entered directly at the playoff stage. In the first leg against Lech, defensive frailties resurfaced as they conceded again. However, their efficient attack more than compensated. By halftime, Genk led 4–1 away from home and went on to seal a comfortable victory.

Lech Poznań

Much more was expected from Lech Poznań at home. Traditionally, they perform strongly in their own stadium with an attack-minded style of play — something already evident this season.

Lech began their European journey in the second qualifying round of the Champions League, where they demolished Breidablik 7–1 in the first leg, rendering the return match a mere formality. Problems arose against Red Star Belgrade, though, as Lech were eliminated 2–4 on aggregate. But what happened in the first leg against Genk left Polish fans bewildered. The Railwaymen lost by four goals and have virtually no chance of a comeback.

Head-to-head statistics

In the first leg of this tie, Genk thrashed Lech away from home 4–1, taking a commanding advantage into the second leg.

Prediction

For the Genk vs Lech Poznań clash, our prediction is for a high-scoring encounter. The hosts, with a huge aggregate lead, can afford to play more freely. The visitors, meanwhile, must take risks to at least restore pride in front of their fans.

Therefore, the recommended bet is over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.64.