Qarabağ vs Ferencváros: Champions League Qualification Prediction (27.08.2025)

On August 27, 2025 at 18:45 CEST, the second leg of the UEFA Champions League qualification final will take place between Qarabağ and Ferencváros. Bookmakers see the opponents as roughly equal in strength, with the main intrigue being whether the home side can hold on to the advantage they secured in the first leg a week ago. Let’s review the current form of both teams and give our prediction for the match.

Qarabağ

Few could have predicted before the start of the Champions League qualification that an Azerbaijani club would reach the final – and perform so convincingly. The main strength of the “Horsemen” lies in their teamwork and tireless commitment, which compensate for other shortcomings. In addition, the draw has been relatively favorable. In the quarterfinals, they defeated Ireland’s Shelbourne (4:0 on aggregate), and in the semifinals they dismantled Shkëndija (6:1).

The final, however, brought a much tougher opponent. Qarabağ were even considered underdogs in the away first leg. Yet thanks to discipline and organization, the “Horsemen” secured a two-goal victory, a comfortable cushion before the return game at home.

Ferencváros

Losing the first leg was an unpleasant surprise for Ferencváros supporters, as the team had come into the match on an impressive 26-game unbeaten streak. Robbie Keane’s side did not collapse, but the disciplined defense of their opponents proved more effective. Now the situation is complicated: in the return leg, Qarabağ can afford to play pragmatically – sit deep in defense and wait for counterattack opportunities.

For Ferencváros, scoring an early goal is crucial to revive the intrigue. If they manage it, the psychological pressure will shift to the hosts, and the match could take a more favorable turn for the Hungarians. But if the first half ends without them taking the lead, the second half will be much more difficult – both in terms of play and mentality.

Head-to-head statistics

Since 2022, the teams have met four times. Qarabağ hold the statistical edge, with two away wins by identical 3:1 scorelines. The other two encounters ended in draws.

Prediction

For the Qarabağ vs Ferencváros match, our prediction is for an early goal. Ferencváros, as the visiting team, will push forward aggressively in search of a first-half strike, but that attacking intent could leave them vulnerable to Qarabağ’s counterattacks. That makes a bet on First-half total over 1 at odds of 1.82 an interesting option.