Atletico vs Elche: La Liga Prediction (23.08.2025)

On August 23, 2025, at 19.30 CEST, the second round of the Spanish championship will feature Atletico – Elche at the Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid. Bookmakers see the hosts as clear favorites. According to the odds, their chances of winning are estimated at more than 76%. Let’s take a look at the current form of both teams and provide a prediction for the game.

Atletico Madrid

Last season cannot be considered successful for Atletico. Indeed, Diego Simeone’s team traditionally finished in the Champions League zone, securing third place, but there were too many failures throughout the campaign. Instability and a lack of balance in play led to early exits from international competitions – the club quickly bowed out of both the Champions League and the Club World Cup. Despite this, Simeone remains an unshakable figure within the Madrid club and is now preparing for his 15th campaign with a significantly refreshed squad.

However, Atletico started the new season poorly. Los Colchoneros looked unbalanced in their match against Espanyol and lost 1-2. Clearly, this was not the kind of start expected from Atletico.

Elche

Spanish fans have truly missed Elche in the top flight. The last time the team played in La Liga was in the 2022/23 season. That campaign ended disastrously – a 20th-place finish with only 25 points. After losing their place in the elite, the club quickly managed to recover. Under Eder Sarabia’s leadership, Elche confidently navigated the Segunda last season and finished second. Now the challenge is to prove that their return is not just a brief episode, but a chance to establish themselves among the strongest.

In the opening round, Elche faced a tough opponent in Real Betis. The game was challenging, though Elche dominated possession with 68%. Still, the newly promoted side had to come from behind and managed to secure a hard-fought draw.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

In the last five head-to-head meetings, Atletico leads with four wins to one. Since 2023, the teams also met in a Copa del Rey match earlier this year, where Atletico had no problems thrashing the green-and-whites 4-0.

Prediction

For the Atletico – Elche match, the prediction is in favor of the hosts. After a disappointing result in the first round, Diego Simeone’s team will surely enter the pitch highly motivated, looking to redeem themselves in front of their fans. In such a situation, it will be extremely difficult for a newly promoted side to withstand the pressure of a much more experienced and quality opponent. The optimal bet appears to be Atletico to win with a –1.5 handicap at odds of 1.81.