Real Madrid vs Osasuna: La Liga Prediction (19.08.2025)

On August 19, 2025, at 21:00 CEST, as part of the first week of La Liga, Real Madrid will face Osasuna. According to bookmakers, the home team is considered the clear favorite. Let’s review the current form of both teams at the start of the season to see if the prediction is really that straightforward, and provide our match forecast.

Real Madrid

Los Blancos are entering the new season in a rebuilding phase. An updated squad and a new coach could bring some instability in the opening matches. Xabi Alonso took over Madrid right before the Club World Cup, so players had to quickly adapt to the new coach’s playing style in official matches. Additionally, the short pre-season may have been insufficient, which could affect performance in the first few rounds.

Several promising newcomers need to be integrated into the starting lineup, including Mastantuono, Carreras, Heisen, and Alexander-Arnold. Meanwhile, Luka Modric, the team’s playmaker, has left the club. The departure of Kroos previously had a significant impact on Madrid’s play, but with Xabi Alonso’s major squad adjustments, this factor might be mitigated. Additional challenges come from the injuries to Mendy and Bellingham.

Osasuna

Los Rojillos finished the previous season in very good form. The team lost only one of their last ten matches, finished ninth, and even competed for a spot in European competitions.

However, in the new season, Osasuna is led by Alessio Lisci, who has not yet completed a full La Liga season as head coach. It is hard to predict how this will affect results. The pre-season results are unimpressive, with Osasuna winning only against Mirandes in six games. Their weak away form last season is also notable, as they collected only 16 points from 19 away matches.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings, Real Madrid leads with 4 wins and 1 draw. Three of these wins were achieved with a margin of at least three goals.

Prediction

For the Real Madrid – Osasuna match, our forecast favors the home team. Both teams enter the first round with some issues, but the quality of Madrid’s players is far superior. This is likely to be the decisive factor. Betting on a Real Madrid win with a -1.5 handicap at odds of 1.78 is recommended.