Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla: La Liga Prediction (18.08.2025)

On August 18, 2025, at 00:30 WIB, in the opening round of the Spanish La Liga, at the San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao, Athletic Bilbao will face Sevilla. Bookmakers see the home side as clear favorites, but the early rounds often bring surprises. Let’s examine the current form of the teams and find the most interesting betting option for this match.

Athletic Bilbao

The Basques have always been a solid side, capable of producing big results at any moment. Last season, however, the team also gained consistency, which allowed them to finish in fourth place and qualify for the Champions League. Athletic are especially strong at home, backed by their passionate fans. At San Mamés last season, Ernesto Valverde’s men lost only two matches — a narrow defeat to Atlético Madrid and the final-round match against Barcelona, which had little competitive significance.

For the upcoming season, Athletic Bilbao approach with almost the same squad. Nico Williams has been retained so far. However, three midfielders — Sancet, Prados, and Gómez — along with defender Paredes remain in the injury list.

Sevilla

The Rojiblancos face a difficult away trip. Sevilla are on the opposite side of the country and, recently, the opposite end of the table. Last season, the team finished just above the relegation zone in 17th place, only one point clear of safety.

Sevilla had a very active preseason, losing only 1 of 7 matches, but it’s hard to judge their form from these games. The real test will come in the season opener. Notable reinforcement includes the loan signing of Vlachodimos from Newcastle.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In the last five meetings, the record favors the Bilbao side — 3 wins to 1, with one draw. Notably, in the last nine encounters between these teams, there have never been more than two goals scored in a match.

Prediction

For Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla, the prediction is in favor of the home team. However, it’s worth noting that the Basques had the most reliable defense in La Liga last season. Based on the head-to-head history, a low-scoring game is also likely. Therefore, we recommend a combination bet on an Athletic Bilbao win and under 3.5 goals at odds of 2.12.