Beşiktaş vs St Patrick’s Athletic: Europa Conference League Qualification Prediction (14.08.2025)

On Thursday, 14 August 2025, 18:00 UTC, Beşiktaş will host Irish representatives St Patrick’s Athletic at the Tüpraş Stadium in Istanbul for the second leg of their 2025/2026 UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round tie.

The Turkish Black Eagles secured a convincing 4-1 away victory in the first leg in Ireland. That dominant result has led bookmakers to believe Beşiktaş have virtually secured qualification, making their current odds prohibitively short.

So, what’s the prediction for the upcoming match? Read on for the full analysis.

Beşiktaş

For Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s side, participation in the Conference League feels more like a consolation prize after their aspirations to remain in the Europa League were dashed. The Manchester United legend is under significant pressure following their disappointing elimination by Shakhtar Donetsk.

The Black Eagles responded emphatically against the weaker Irish side and now simply need to complete the job on home turf.

Their performance in Dublin revealed the determined mindset of the Turkish giants. They effectively dismantled St Patrick’s in the first half, dominating every area of the pitch. While that level of intensity might not be replicated in the second leg given their comfortable aggregate lead, the passionate Tüpraş Stadium crowd will undoubtedly demand a strong showing from their team.

St Patrick’s Athletic

Stephen Kenny’s squad deserves immense credit for reaching the third qualifying round – a significant achievement for the modest Irish club. Their focus must now shift back to domestic league action to salvage their season’s ambitions. Facing a side of Beşiktaş’s calibre provided valuable experience against far higher-level opposition.

Head-to-Head & Statistics

The first-leg stats from Dublin perfectly illustrate a huge gap between the two sides:

• Expected goals: Beşiktaş 2.56 – 0.00 St Patrick’s
• Possession: Beşiktaş 62% – 38% St Patrick’s
• Shots: Beşiktaş 11 (6 on target) – St Patrick’s 0 (0 on target)

Prediction

Analysts anticipate an open match but expect goals to come primarily from the Istanbul side: the Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at just 1.29, while Both Teams to Score is offered at 2.13. The quality difference is starkly reflected here.

Recommended bet: Beşiktaş to Win with a -2 Goal Handicap @ 1.51.