Wolfsberg vs PAOK: UEFA Europa League Prediction (14.08.2025)

On Thursday, August 14, at 16:00 UTC, Wolfsberg will host PAOK Thessaloniki at the Wörthersee Stadion in Klagenfurt in the second leg of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League third qualifying round. The first leg in Greece ended in a goalless draw.

In the return fixture, bookmakers slightly favor the visiting side. A Wolfsberg win in regulation is priced at 3.05, while their odds to advance to the next qualification round stand at 2.17. PAOK’s odds are 2.35 for a win in regular time and 1.69 to qualify. The over 2.5 goals market is at 1.97, suggesting few goals are expected again. Odds for both teams to score are set at 1.75.

Wolfsberg

Dietmar Kühbauer’s team showed themselves as a well-organized and disciplined unit in the first match, not allowing their opponents a single shot on target. While they ceded possession, the “Wolves” threatened occasionally on counterattacks, especially down the left flank, where 31-year-old René Renner was lively.
Wolfsberg often defended with five or even seven players, and PAOK struggled to break through their layered defense. However, whether such a defensive setup will work again is uncertain—one conceded goal could decide the tie, especially given Wolfsberg’s limited attacking threat. That said, they did prove at the weekend that they can score, beating Austria Vienna 2–0 away.

PAOK

Razvan Lucescu had to make do in attack with the players at his disposal. Fedor Chalov, Taison, Giannis Konstantelias, and others failed to produce a clear-cut scoring chance throughout the first match. Still, the midfield effectively maintained territorial control over the weaker side, and the defense faced little pressure. The Romanian coach will need to find a way to unlock Wolfsberg’s back line.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In the first leg, the Greek side enjoyed 64% possession to 36%, and doubled their opponents’ completed passes (549 to 275). However, the Austrians had the edge in shots toward goal (9–6), shots on target (3–0), and expected goals (xG 0.91 to 0.29).

Prediction

Both teams clearly lacked skill in the final stages of attacks. It is unlikely that this picture of the match will change. Let’s bet on PAOK not losing and total goals under 3.5 at odds of 1.84.