Slovan vs Kairat: UEFA Champions League Qualifying Prediction (12.08.2025)

On August 12, 2025, at 23:15 Astana time, in the UEFA Champions League qualifying semi-final in Bratislava, the second leg between Slovan Bratislava and Kairat will take place. Bookmakers see the hosts as favourites, with average odds of 1.70 for a home win versus 4.35 for the visitors. A draw is priced at 4.20.

However, the Kazakh side won the first leg and are now considered favourites over the two matches. Odds to advance to the next round are 2.04 for Slovan and 1.78 in favour of Kairat. Let’s look at the teams’ current form and give our prediction for the match.

Slovan

The “Kings of Bratislava” had no trouble winning last season’s Slovak championship, finishing 18 points ahead of their nearest rivals. The team performed well both at home and away. However, the long flight to Kazakhstan took a toll on the players’ physical condition and match readiness. It was no surprise that playing against the Almaty side in Kazakhstan proved challenging.
Notably, midfielder Rahim Ibrahim received two yellow cards in that match and will miss the second leg.

Kairat

In their last 13 matches, Kairat have lost only once. The “Yellow-Blacks” are in excellent form, particularly strong at home. They completely dominated the first leg against Slovan, even when both teams had equal numbers, and after the opponent’s red card, they took full control. Kairat had 55% possession and outshot the visitors 17–5 overall, with a 7–1 advantage in shots on target. Crucially, the team from Kazakhstan heads into the away leg with a lead, giving them the option to play more conservatively and focus on defence.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The teams met for the first time last week, with Kairat winning 1–0. The decisive goal came from a penalty in the final minute of normal time. The Yellow-Blacks could have doubled their lead, but a goal scored in the 7th minute of added time was disallowed for offside.

Prediction

For Slovan vs Kairat, the prediction leans towards a low-scoring outcome. The visitors will aim to protect their existing lead and play defensively. In this scenario, a bet on total goals under 3 at odds of 1.72 looks promising.