On Wednesday, August 13, 2025, at 00:00 Astana time, the second leg of the UEFA Champions League qualifying semi-final will take place between FK Crvena zvezda (commonly known as Red Star Belgrade) and Lech Poznań. Bookmakers see the hosts as clear favourites, with the Serbian club holding a two-goal advantage after winning 3–1 away in the first leg. Let’s look at the teams’ current form and provide a prediction for the match.

Red Star Belgrade

The “Red-Whites” are in excellent form, having lost only two official matches this year. Their season started strongly, cruising past Lincoln Red Imps 6–1 on aggregate in the previous round, and recording emphatic league wins of 4–0 against FK Javor and 7–1 over OFK Belgrade.

In the first match against Lech, the stats were almost even across key metrics, but Red Star were far more clinical. They especially dominated in the second half, showing outstanding physical preparation.

Lech Poznań

The reigning Polish champions have struggled early in the season. They lost the Polish Super Cup to Legia Warsaw (1–2) and suffered a heavy 1–4 defeat to Cracovia in their league opener. They bounced back with two wins in the following league matches but remain inconsistent, conceding 8 goals in just three rounds.

Including pre-season, Lech have played 9 matches, and only once did they fail to see over 2.5 goals — the return leg against Breiðablik, when they were already 7–1 up from the first game and lacked motivation.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These sides have met twice. In a 2010 friendly, Lech won 3–1, but last week Red Star took revenge with the same scoreline (3–1).

Prediction

This clash should produce goals. Lech have been highly unstable, with most of their games this season going over 2.5 goals. As they need to overturn a two-goal deficit, they will be forced to attack, which should open the game up.

Tip: Over 2.5 total goals at odds of 1.60.