New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami: MLS Prediction (20.07.2025)

On Sunday, July 20 at 06:30 WIB, local football club New York Red Bulls will host Inter Miami at “Red Bull Arena” in Harrison, in a regular-season match of Major League Soccer (MLS) 2025. The New York team has played 23 matches and collected 33 points, currently sitting in eighth place in the Eastern Conference standings. The visiting team has played three games fewer but already has 38 points and is in fifth place.

In the New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami matchup, bookmakers give nearly equal odds to both teams. A bet on the Red Bulls to win is offered at odds of 2.72, a draw at 3.58, and an Inter Miami win at 2.46. The over 2.5 goals market is valued at 1.52, indicating expectations of a high-scoring match. Both teams to score is available at 1.44.

New York Red Bulls

Last season, the New York club finished eighth in the regular season, made it to the play-offs, but were eliminated in the Round of 16 by FC Cincinnati. This season, the team is coached by German manager Sandro Schwarz, but the quality of play hasn’t changed much. The Red Bulls are once again fighting for positions around seventh to ninth place.

However, at home, the Red Bulls are performing at their best. Out of 11 home matches, they’ve only lost once. On average, they score 2.73 goals per game at home — the best record in the Eastern Conference.

Inter Miami

What happens to Javier Mascherano’s team when Lionel Messi has an off day was clearly shown in their recent match against FC Cincinnati, where they conceded three unanswered goals. To make matters worse, their first-choice goalkeeper, 39-year-old Oscar Ustari from Argentina, suffered an injury. His replacement, 23-year-old fellow Argentine Rocco Novo Rios, conceded twice in just over one half.

It’s hard to judge any Inter game as typical, because when Messi shines, the team can beat anyone in MLS. However, the Argentine superstar has been playing at a high level for a month now — and doing so at 38 years old under the hot summer sun is no easy feat.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

In the last six meetings between the two teams, the win tally is tied at 3–3. In May of this year, Inter Miami convincingly defeated the Red Bulls at home, 4–1.

Prediction

In their last three head-to-head games, both teams combined for a total of 17 (!) goals. Add to that the high scoring rate of the Red Bulls at home. Our prediction: total goals over 3 at odds of 1.82.