Aktobe vs Legia: Europa League Prediction (17.07.2025)

On July 17, 2025, at 23:00 WIB, the second leg of the Europa League qualification round of 16 between Aktobe and Legia will take place. Bookmakers consider the visitors as the favorites. However, we will analyze the current form of both teams and offer our prediction for the match.

Aktobe

The “Red and Whites” traveled to Poland as clear underdogs. The odds for the Kazakh side to win exceeded 14.00. However, the team made good use of the summer break in their domestic league to prepare for this European clash. Facing a stronger and more experienced opponent, Vyacheslav Levchuk’s squad rightfully played a defensive strategy and focused on counterattacks.

In the 9th minute, Oralhan Omirtaev managed to score against Legia, but the goal was disallowed for offside. Notably, the Kazakh team had fewer shots on target (2 to 9), but they only suffered a narrow defeat and performed quite well defensively overall.

Legia

The Polish side failed to fully capitalize on their advantage and favorite status in the first leg. They dominated the match but secured only a minimal victory, which keeps the tie open. One key factor is that the Polish league is still in its offseason, so players are not yet in top form. Meanwhile, their opponents are clearly in competitive rhythm.

In the second leg, Legia can afford to play more calmly and manage the game based on the aggregate score. The key will be to avoid conceding an early goal — after that, we may see a slow and scrappy game.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

The teams have met three times, all in the Europa League qualification stage. In 2014, Legia won both matches with a total score of 3-0, and they earned a narrow 1-0 victory last week.

Prediction

For the Aktobe vs Legia match, we predict a favorable result for the home side. The first leg showed that the Polish team is not yet in peak form, although they are still capable of grinding out results based on quality. In the second leg, a draw would be enough for Legia, and they are unlikely to attack aggressively, especially with Aktobe enjoying home support. In this situation, we recommend betting on Aktobe +1 handicap at odds of 1.64.